Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
49.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
FOR
2 - 2
WIL
62%
19%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
ELI
2 - 0
WIL
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
WIL
3 - 0
ADO
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
VOL
2 - 2
WIL
47%
22%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
WIL
3 - 2
RAP
48%
22%
30%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
AJA
0 - 1
MVV
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
AJA
6 - 2
PSV
58%
21%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
NAC
2 - 1
AJA
37%
23%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
AJA
4 - 1
FEY
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
AJA
5 - 1
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |