Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
48.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
WIL
1 - 0
PSV
37%
21%
42%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
ELI
4 - 2
WIL
60%
19%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
WIL
0 - 4
FOR
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
SPA
3 - 0
WIL
76%
13%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
WIL
2 - 1
DWS
49%
22%
30%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
AJA
1 - 4
ELI
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
FOR
3 - 1
AJA
53%
20%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
AJA
1 - 1
SPA
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
DWS
1 - 2
AJA
32%
22%
46%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
AJA
3 - 3
ADO
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |