Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
46.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
VVD
4 - 1
WIL
70%
16%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
WIL
6 - 3
VVV
55%
21%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
ELI
3 - 1
WIL
41%
22%
38%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
FOR
0 - 1
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
WIL
0 - 6
PSV
33%
22%
45%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 0
FEY
54%
20%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
ELI
1 - 2
AJA
25%
21%
54%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 0
RAP
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
MVV
1 - 1
AJA
41%
22%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
AJA
3 - 1
EIN
88%
9%
4%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | +1 |