Willem II vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
SPA
0 - 1
WIL
59%
22%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
WIL
1 - 0
HER
62%
21%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
GAE
5 - 2
WIL
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
TEL
1 - 3
WIL
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
ELI
0 - 1
WIL
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
DWS
3 - 1
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
ADO
2 - 0
DWS
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
DWS
4 - 1
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
VVD
2 - 3
DWS
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
DWS
1 - 1
SPA
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |