Willem II vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ENS
2 - 4
WIL
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
WIL
2 - 1
VVD
37%
23%
40%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
SPA
4 - 2
WIL
70%
16%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
VVD
5 - 0
WIL
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
WIL
1 - 1
DWS
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
DWS
0 - 0
AJA
26%
21%
52%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
VOL
0 - 0
DWS
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
DWS
1 - 0
MVV
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
DWS
0 - 3
FOR
56%
21%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
WIL
1 - 1
DWS
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |