Willem II U21 vs PEC Zwolle U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+95%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
7º
7º
33
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 2
FYN
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 1
ADO
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
WIL
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 0
EMM
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PEC
3 - 1
ACY
77%
13%
9%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 1
PEC
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PEC
3 - 2
FYN
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
EMM
0 - 6
PEC
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PEC
1 - 1
GRO
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |