Willem II U21 vs Groningen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
7º
7º
29
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ADO
1 - 2
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EMM
2 - 2
WIL
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 3
GRA
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 4
FYN
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 2
ADO
41%
25%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 1
ACY
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 0
PEC
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FYN
5 - 0
GRO
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
GRO
3 - 1
PEC
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 4
GRO
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |