Willem II U21 vs Excelsior U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
34%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 2
WIL
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 1
NEC
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DBS
1 - 2
WIL
40%
21%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 0
ROD
41%
23%
37%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EXC
5 - 1
DBS
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NEC
4 - 0
EXC
54%
20%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ROD
2 - 7
EXC
51%
20%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
PEC
3 - 1
EXC
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |