Willem II U21 vs Excelsior U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
PEC
2 - 2
WIL
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
WIL
4 - 1
VIT
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
APB
0 - 3
WIL
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 0
ROD
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 3
WIL
30%
22%
47%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 1
GRA
40%
22%
39%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
APB
68%
17%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
EXC
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 1
EMM
37%
23%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ROD
3 - 2
EXC
56%
20%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |