Willem II U18 vs NEC Nijmegen U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
7º
6º
19
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 3
WIL
45%
21%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 4
APB
31%
21%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
AFC
7 - 4
WIL
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
GRA
5 - 0
WIL
78%
14%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 3
SPR
82%
11%
7%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 0
CAM
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
4 - 1
NEC
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
NEC
6 - 5
VOL
44%
21%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
EMM
1 - 0
NEC
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NEC
3 - 5
ALM
31%
21%
48%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |