FC Wil vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
7º
5º
72
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
WIL
2 - 1
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FCV
1 - 0
WIL
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
WIL
2 - 0
NEX
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
ETO
1 - 1
WIL
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
WIL
3 - 1
FCZ
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 0
THU
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
THU
2 - 0
BEL
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
SCH
2 - 3
THU
15%
22%
62%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
THU
3 - 1
FCV
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
THU
2 - 2
RAP
64%
19%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |