FC Wil vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
FCV
3 - 2
WIL
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 2
STG
33%
24%
43%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 1
BIE
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
YVE
0 - 1
WIL
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 0
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
THU
1 - 2
LEM
73%
16%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
THU
2 - 1
SIO
32%
24%
43%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
WIN
2 - 1
THU
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
THU
4 - 2
KRI
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
THU
1 - 0
SCH
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |