FC Wil vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LOC
1 - 0
WIL
18%
23%
60%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
FCG
1 - 2
WIL
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
WIL
0 - 1
DEL
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
SER
0 - 0
WIL
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 0
YVE
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LUG
2 - 2
FCG
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
YVE
1 - 1
LUG
43%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LUG
5 - 1
CHI
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
WOH
2 - 0
LUG
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
LUG
3 - 1
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |