FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
KRE
3 - 7
WIL
13%
17%
70%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
NEX
2 - 3
WIL
36%
25%
40%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
WIL
0 - 2
STA
36%
26%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 4
WIL
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
WIL
3 - 1
SCH
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
WOH
1 - 5
FCA
6%
11%
83%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 0
GCZ
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
GCZ
4 - 0
FCA
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 1
STA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
ETO
1 - 3
FCA
33%
25%
43%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |