FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GCZ
1 - 0
WIL
64%
21%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 0
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
THU
3 - 1
WIL
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCV
15%
19%
66%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 2
KRI
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
FCA
3 - 1
CHI
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NEX
0 - 1
FCA
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
FCA
3 - 0
WIN
48%
22%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 0
SCH
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
GCZ
4 - 1
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |