FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 1
SER
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 0
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 0
WIN
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
GAL
13%
20%
68%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
THU
1 - 0
WIL
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 2
KRI
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
WIN
3 - 1
FCA
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 2
SER
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 4
FCA
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
FCA
18%
19%
63%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |