FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
GCZ
2 - 0
WIL
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FCV
0 - 0
WIL
72%
19%
10%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 3
SCH
16%
22%
63%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
RAP
0 - 0
WIL
54%
23%
22%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 3
THU
10%
17%
73%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
FCL
5 - 0
FCA
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FCA
0 - 0
RAP
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
FCA
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 0
WOH
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +2 |