FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
SCH
3 - 0
WIL
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NEX
3 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 4
ZUR
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 0
LEM
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 4
LUG
24%
22%
54%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 5
FCL
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
5 - 1
FCA
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FCA
4 - 2
LEM
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
WOH
1 - 2
FCA
23%
25%
53%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 2
SCH
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -2 |