FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
NEX
3 - 2
WIL
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
ZUR
24%
24%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 0
WIL
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 4
WIL
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 1
WIL
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 0
SER
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 2
FCA
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 1
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
GCZ
2 - 2
FCA
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
FCA
4 - 0
SVS
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |