FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 1
WIN
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
NEX
4 - 2
WIL
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
WOH
1 - 0
WIL
28%
25%
48%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 1
BIE
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 2
LAU
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 2
FCA
36%
26%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LEM
1 - 1
FCA
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 2
NEX
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BIE
1 - 3
FCA
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |