FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 2
WIL
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 2
WOH
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
BIE
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 3
WIL
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 3
BEL
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 0
LOC
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
FCA
6 - 0
BIE
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 3
FCA
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
WIN
1 - 0
FCA
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 2
LUG
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |