FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FCV
3 - 1
WIL
65%
20%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 2
BIE
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIL
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
WIL
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2011 |
WIL
0 - 0
SER
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
FCA
0 - 4
STA
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
KRI
0 - 1
FCA
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
FCA
0 - 0
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SER
4 - 2
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
DEL
3 - 3
FCA
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |