FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
NEX
0 - 2
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 2
THU
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
MAL
0 - 2
WIL
17%
19%
64%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 0
STG
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
THU
6 - 3
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
FCA
2 - 4
ZUR
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ZUR
4 - 2
FCA
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 2
STG
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |