FC Wil vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
7º
5º
54
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
STA
0 - 2
WIL
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
WIL
0 - 3
FCV
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
SCH
1 - 3
WIL
28%
25%
46%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCA
25%
24%
50%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BEL
0 - 3
WIL
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ETO
7 - 0
BEL
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
ETO
2 - 1
STA
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 2
ETO
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
ETO
0 - 0
THU
25%
24%
51%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
STA
0 - 3
ETO
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |