FC Wil vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
KRI
0 - 2
WIL
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 0
BEL
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
THU
2 - 2
WIL
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
WIN
3 - 1
WIL
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
WIL
2 - 1
BAD
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
THU
3 - 0
ETO
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
ETO
2 - 1
KRI
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
ETO
0 - 0
DEL
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
BAD
1 - 1
ETO
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
ETO
2 - 0
BEL
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |