FC Wil vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2003 |
GCZ
5 - 3
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 3
NAN
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 1
THU
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
NAN
2 - 1
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
SER
3 - 1
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
BAS
4 - 2
NEX
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2003 |
YOB
2 - 3
BAS
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEX
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
SER
0 - 4
BAS
41%
25%
35%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |