Wil II vs Lachen/Altendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
5º
42
5º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BAZ
3 - 1
WIL
21%
20%
60%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 1
FCR
77%
13%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCW
74%
14%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
UST
2 - 4
WIL
31%
22%
48%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DSG
1 - 1
WIL
26%
20%
55%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lachen/Altendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LAC
2 - 0
DSG
52%
20%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 1
LAC
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 3
LAC
58%
19%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LAC
2 - 4
DUB
69%
16%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TAG
2 - 1
LAC
22%
20%
59%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |