Wil II vs Bazenheid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
11º
11º
44
2º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 1
WIL
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 2
WID
37%
21%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FCT
4 - 1
WIL
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 2
UST
63%
18%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SVS
5 - 0
WIL
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BAZ
0 - 1
UST
61%
20%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 1
BAZ
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BAZ
1 - 3
FRA
58%
20%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LAC
3 - 1
BAZ
44%
22%
35%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BAZ
1 - 1
FCA
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |