Wil II vs FC Balzers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
50.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
11º
11º
56
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
WID
1 - 0
WIL
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCT
72%
15%
12%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UST
0 - 2
WIL
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 2
SVS
45%
20%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 4
WIL
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Balzers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 2
UST
84%
11%
6%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SVS
2 - 3
FCB
25%
20%
55%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
2 - 1
FRA
82%
11%
7%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LAC
2 - 4
FCB
23%
19%
59%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 2
FCA
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |