Wil II vs Amriswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
11º
11º
11
12º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DSG
5 - 3
WIL
30%
21%
49%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
WIL
3 - 1
FCR
78%
12%
9%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CHU
2 - 2
WIL
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAZ
3 - 1
WIL
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 2
FCB
29%
20%
50%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Amriswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 3
UST
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SVS
2 - 0
DAN
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 7
FRA
46%
22%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DAN
2 - 4
LAC
30%
21%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCA
5 - 1
DAN
63%
19%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |