Wil II vs Amriswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 2
KRE
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
WIL
63%
19%
19%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
4 - 1
CHU
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 4
WIL
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
UST
36%
24%
41%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Amriswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
AMR
0 - 3
LIN
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CHU
1 - 1
AMR
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
AMR
2 - 2
SIR
36%
24%
41%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AMR
1 - 0
ARB
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
UST
1 - 0
AMR
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |