Widnes vs Pontefract Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
70%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
WID
0 - 1
TAD
19%
21%
61%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
MOS
2 - 2
WID
67%
18%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
PRE
3 - 0
WID
75%
15%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
WOR
2 - 0
WID
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
COL
2 - 3
WID
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
PON
2 - 0
GLO
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
PON
1 - 0
RUN
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
PON
4 - 1
PIC
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
MOS
3 - 1
PON
20%
19%
61%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ASH
1 - 0
PON
30%
20%
50%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -3 |