FA Cup Previa 3
Global 2-5
Widnes vs AFC Emley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CLI
0 - 1
WID
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WID
5 - 1
HED
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 0
WID
49%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WID
2 - 1
TRA
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
WID
2 - 0
BOO
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Emley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
LBR
1 - 5
AFC
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
AFC
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 3
HAL
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
ECC
0 - 2
AFC
25%
21%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 2
AFC
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |