Widnau vs Weesen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
12º
3º
21
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 3
WID
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
WID
3 - 4
FCT
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
WID
1 - 1
DSG
54%
20%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 2
WID
11%
15%
74%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
WID
1 - 2
STG
3%
9%
88%
|
31 | 81 | 50 | -1 |
Matches
Weesen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCW
1 - 1
LAC
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAZ
5 - 1
FCW
50%
20%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCW
4 - 4
FCR
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCW
1 - 3
UST
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FCW
1 - 3
TAV
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |