Widnau vs Oerlikon / Polizei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHU
3 - 0
WID
69%
16%
14%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
WID
3 - 2
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 3
WID
75%
14%
11%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
WID
2 - 1
FCP
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 0
WID
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FCO
4 - 1
MEL
51%
21%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FCO
4 - 2
FCS
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CHU
5 - 1
FCO
67%
18%
16%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FCO
4 - 1
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
4 - 1
FCO
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |