Widnau vs Bülach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
12º
3º
49
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
5 - 0
WID
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
WID
2 - 2
TAG
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SVS
2 - 1
WID
59%
20%
22%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WID
3 - 4
CHU
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 2
WID
32%
21%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bülach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 1
LAC
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 0
BAZ
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FCR
0 - 1
FCB
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 1
FCW
37%
21%
42%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCB
79%
12%
9%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |