Whittlesea Zebras vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Whittlesea Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
WHZ
2 - 3
DAN
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2009 |
HEU
3 - 1
WHZ
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
SOU
4 - 0
WHZ
80%
14%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
OAK
2 - 1
WHZ
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
WHZ
1 - 3
HUM
31%
26%
43%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 2
HEU
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
HUM
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 1
GRE
51%
26%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 0
OAK
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |