Whittlesea Ranges vs Yarraville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
50.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Whittlesea Ranges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
THO
2 - 4
WRF
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BCS
2 - 1
WRF
54%
21%
26%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Yarraville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
YAR
2 - 1
BPS
62%
19%
20%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MZE
2 - 5
YAR
92%
7%
1%
|
12 | 73 | 61 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
YAR
3 - 3
HUU
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
YAR
4 - 3
KPF
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
STA
3 - 1
YAR
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |