FA Cup Previa 2
Global 5-6
White Ensign vs Takeley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
36.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
White Ensign
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
TAK
3 - 3
WEN
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
WEN
3 - 1
WOT
61%
19%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
WOT
1 - 1
WEN
27%
21%
52%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Takeley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
TAK
3 - 3
WEN
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CRA
2 - 5
TAK
19%
19%
62%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BOW
5 - 1
TAK
74%
16%
11%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
STA
0 - 1
TAK
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 2
TAK
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |