Whickham vs Penrith AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Whickham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 0
WHI
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
WES
1 - 2
WHI
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BIS
1 - 2
WHI
70%
17%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
WHI
0 - 2
CON
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 2
WHI
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 3
BIS
23%
20%
56%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
SRC
47%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
THO
6 - 2
PEN
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
RAF
3 - 0
PEN
24%
21%
56%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 1
CEL
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |