Whickham vs Padiham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
PAD
4 - 0
PRE
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SCA
6 - 1
PAD
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 0
OSS
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CLI
1 - 4
PAD
84%
10%
5%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 3
WAR
11%
17%
71%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |