WHC vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WHC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
WHC
0 - 0
NUN
53%
23%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BER
2 - 3
WHC
38%
25%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
WHC
3 - 0
HHC
23%
24%
54%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +4 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ORA
0 - 1
WHC
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
WHC
3 - 0
GEN
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
GOA
2 - 3
ONS
47%
23%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BEQ
0 - 0
GOA
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GOA
2 - 4
PKC
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 3
GOA
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
GOA
5 - 1
FLE
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |