WHC vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WHC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
FLE
3 - 1
WHC
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
WHC
3 - 0
EXC
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
GEN
2 - 3
WHC
55%
22%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
WHC
6 - 0
SVZ
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
WHC
1 - 1
BEQ
44%
23%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
GEM
1 - 5
UDI
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
UNA
0 - 0
GEM
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
GEM
2 - 0
PAP
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2006 |
GEM
1 - 2
SCH
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
GEM
1 - 1
SVT
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |