WHC vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
77.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WHC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
WHC
0 - 0
ACV
35%
25%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 3
WHC
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
HHC
1 - 1
WHC
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
WHC
1 - 2
NUN
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
GEM
2 - 2
WHC
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 3
AND
56%
21%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
AJA
3 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 0
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
TIM
1 - 2
AJA
21%
23%
57%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 5
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |