Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
8º
4º
18
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
12.5% | 12% |
|
Next round
|
72.5% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SYD
2 - 1
WES
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 3
WES
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
WES
35%
24%
41%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
7 - 0
WES
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MCI
8 - 0
PER
64%
20%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
MCI
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 1
MCI
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
0 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
7 - 0
WES
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |