Western Suburbs vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NWA
2 - 3
WSU
17%
18%
66%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
WSU
2 - 2
WAI
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
WSU
3 - 0
NAP
45%
21%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
LHC
4 - 1
WSU
28%
21%
51%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
WSU
4 - 0
UHC
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
WAI
1 - 1
WKA
61%
18%
20%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
WKA
3 - 2
STO
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
WKA
1 - 4
MIR
6%
14%
80%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
TAW
2 - 3
WKA
18%
18%
65%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
WAF
1 - 3
WKA
6%
12%
83%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |