Western Suburbs vs Victoria University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 2
WSU
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
WEL
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 5
WSU
12%
15%
72%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
STO
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PET
1 - 3
WSU
25%
20%
55%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Victoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAE
0 - 4
VUN
26%
20%
54%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
VUN
2 - 1
DVF
52%
21%
28%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
VUN
1 - 2
WAF
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VUN
1 - 4
TAW
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
VUN
1 - 3
UHC
49%
21%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |