Western Spirit vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
57.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-92%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ANN
6 - 3
WES
15%
17%
69%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
WES
5 - 0
VIL
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
VIR
13 - 0
WES
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 1
STO
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
TOO
4 - 2
UNI
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
ACA
3 - 1
UNI
30%
21%
48%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 1
BAY
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
TAR
5 - 0
UNI
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |