Western AFC vs Universities AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
32.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
WAF
0 - 1
BUR
51%
21%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 3
WAF
83%
12%
6%
|
7 | 60 | 53 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WAF
1 - 2
SUF
30%
21%
49%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NOM
4 - 0
WAF
93%
6%
2%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
WAF
1 - 6
CAS
5%
13%
82%
|
8 | 55 | 47 | -1 |
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
FCT
4 - 1
UOC
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
UOC
0 - 5
COA
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
UOC
0 - 3
CAS
10%
18%
73%
|
11 | 56 | 45 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
UOC
3 - 0
RAA
43%
23%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |