West End vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 2
WES
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
GOY
0 - 3
WES
69%
17%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
WES
2 - 4
MON
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
WES
4 - 1
GOY
29%
20%
50%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +3 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TON
4 - 1
WES
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
ABE
48%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CWM
1 - 2
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
TAF
3 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAM
19%
22%
60%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 1
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |